Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Swoopes | 40 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Arcain | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| T. Thompson | 31 | 6-16 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| T. Kostic | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| T. Phillips | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Canty | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Hodges | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 40 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 11-16 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 28 | - |
| P. Taylor | 39 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| L. Harrison | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Snell | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Ivey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter