Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (80-75). Ratings: 2006 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 40 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 31 | 6-16 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Tari Phillips * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Dawn Staley | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 40 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 11-16 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 39 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Maria Stepanova * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Lisa Harrison * | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Niele Ivey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter