Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (70-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ohlde | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Harrower | 30 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| C. Jones | 26 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 25 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Lassiter | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Mann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 37 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| A. DeForge | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Ivey | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Robinson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Harrison | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter