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2005-08-02

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock Houston Comets Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Comets +1 (62-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 39 9-15 4-4 1-1 10 5 0 0 3 23 20 -
C. Ford 31 6-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 4 2 3 12 10 -
E. Powell 30 2-8 0-0 2-4 2 3 3 0 0 6 6 -
K. Smith 26 3-8 0-4 1-2 1 3 2 0 3 7 2 -
R. Riley 26 3-11 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 6 1 -
P. Pierson 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 2 -
K. Braxton 11 1-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 -1 -
S. Cash 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Farris 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1 -

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Swoopes 37 7-15 0-1 3-3 5 4 3 1 7 17 8 -
T. Thompson 30 4-13 2-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 10 2 -
J. Arcain 30 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 6 3 -
D. Canty 26 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 4 0 0 3 4 5 -
M. Snow 24 6-10 0-0 3-3 4 0 1 2 3 15 9 -
T. Kostic 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
S. Lyttle 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
R. Hodges 9 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
T. Phillips 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter