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2005-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +3.9 (24.9 off)
Pythagorean 71.8% 28.2% -
Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% -
Log Adjusted 86.0% 14.0% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -21 (62-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Washington Jr. 33 5-12 2-3 2-2 2 5 1 0 4 14 6 -
D. Erwin 31 6-9 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 1 2 13 13 -
A. Rice 31 4-12 4-11 4-5 1 3 2 2 3 16 9 -
J. Hunt 31 6-13 2-3 1-6 7 2 0 0 2 15 9 -
R. Carney 23 6-14 2-5 3-7 2 0 1 1 1 17 6 -
J. Dorsey 21 2-2 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 4 6 11 -
Arthur Barclay 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 0 1 0 13 -
W. Williams 11 1-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
A. Thiero 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Njoya 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carlos Dixon 36 5-12 1-3 2-3 4 2 1 1 1 13 8 -
J. Gordon 33 6-12 0-3 4-7 4 4 4 2 3 16 15 -
A. Green 32 2-8 0-1 4-8 9 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
Z. Dowdell 24 3-10 1-4 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 8 -2 -
D. Washington 21 1-5 0-0 3-6 5 4 4 1 0 5 14 -
W. Witherspoon 18 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 4 1 -
R. Krabbendam 13 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Harris 7 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
J. King 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Calloway 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Tucker 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Ritchie 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter