Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Shock +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 40 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 39 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 34 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Harrison | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Robinson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Williams | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Ivey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 39 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Riley | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Smith | 24 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Ford | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| S. Cash | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Braxton | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| E. Powell | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -3 | - |
| P. Pierson | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Farris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter