Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 36 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | - |
| A. DeForge | 36 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Robinson | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 14 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| L. Harrison | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 33 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 26 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| K. Harrower | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| K. Mann | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Lassiter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter