Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 38 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 33 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| K. Miller | 28 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Streimikyte | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Williams | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. White | 13 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| D. Jackson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Sales | 36 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Dydek | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| L. Whalen | 31 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Douglas | 26 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Wyckoff | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Jones | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Summerton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter