Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +17 (77-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holdsclaw | 36 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 31 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Lewis | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Leslie | 29 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Mabika | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| R. Masciadri | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Dixon | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Thomas | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Moore | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Curry | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 29 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| P. Taylor | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. DeForge | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Robinson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| N. Ivey | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Williams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Irvin | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Snell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Harrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter