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New York Liberty 80
@
Phoenix Mercury 70
2005-07-21

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% - ✗
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 ✗ (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wauters 35 6-13 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 12 5 -
B. Hammon 35 5-8 3-5 8-10 2 5 1 0 4 21 17 -
V. Johnson 33 4-7 1-1 2-2 3 6 2 0 2 11 13 -
E. Baranova 33 5-8 1-1 5-6 7 2 2 1 2 16 18 -
C. Robinson 28 2-6 0-2 4-4 3 2 0 0 0 8 7 -
S. Christon 15 3-8 0-2 4-4 0 0 0 0 4 10 -2 -
L. Frett 7 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
L. Moore 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 -
C. Kraayeveld 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Thorn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Taylor 40 7-14 2-5 4-4 2 4 4 0 3 20 13 -
A. DeForge 32 5-9 3-6 4-4 1 3 0 1 5 17 8 -
Diana Taurasi 31 7-14 1-8 1-2 8 6 1 1 5 16 13 -
M. Stepanova 29 4-12 0-0 0-2 4 3 4 0 3 8 4 -
K. Vodichkova 28 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
A. Robinson 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 1 0 4 -
N. Ivey 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
A. Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter