Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wauters | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| B. Hammon | 35 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 8-10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| V. Johnson | 33 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| E. Baranova | 33 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| C. Robinson | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Christon | 15 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -2 | - |
| L. Frett | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Moore | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Thorn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 40 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| A. DeForge | 32 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 7-14 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 29 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Robinson | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Ivey | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter