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2005-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (22.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -17 (53-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Walsh * 38 8-17 5-11 5-6 2 1 1 0 4 26 9 -
A. Roberson * 33 3-11 2-5 2-2 0 3 1 0 3 10 0 -
D. Lee * 31 4-11 0-0 1-2 17 0 0 0 4 9 11 -
C. Brewer * 30 4-7 0-1 0-1 5 2 2 0 0 8 10 -
A. Horford * 20 2-5 0-0 3-6 9 2 2 1 0 7 16 -
C. Richard 19 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 6 8 -
T. Green 17 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 1 2 4 -
L. Humphrey 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Moss 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Noah 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Ingram 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sparks * 33 2-8 0-6 0-1 2 2 2 0 2 4 0 -
C. Hayes * 28 0-4 0-0 4-4 3 2 3 2 1 4 9 -
R. Morris * 27 2-6 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 1 2 6 9 -
M. Kennedy * 24 8-13 0-3 1-2 2 0 1 1 3 17 5 -
R. Rondo * 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 0 2 -
R. Bradley 17 0-5 0-1 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
J. Crawford 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 5 4 -
R. Moss 13 1-4 0-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
S. Thomas 8 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
B. Perry 8 2-4 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
J. Carrier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Obrzut 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Adetula 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Stockton 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
P. LeMaster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter