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2005-07-20

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 78.0% 22.0% -
Bradley-Terry 69.0% 31.0% -
Margin 65.3% 34.7% -3.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -

Actual: Detroit Shock +9 (66-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McWilliams-Franklin 33 4-14 0-1 4-5 11 0 3 1 2 12 11 -
N. Sales 33 7-18 3-4 0-2 3 3 2 0 3 17 4 -
L. Whalen 31 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 2 -1 -
A. Jones 28 7-13 0-0 1-3 9 1 0 0 3 15 9 -
K. Douglas 25 2-10 0-6 1-1 2 2 2 0 1 5 0 -
B. Wyckoff 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 0 6 -
M. Dydek 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
J. Derevjanik 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 37 2-6 1-1 9-11 4 2 1 0 2 14 13 -
C. Ford 32 5-9 0-0 2-5 12 1 3 2 1 12 20 -
C. Jones 27 5-9 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 14 10 -
S. Cash 26 4-7 0-0 1-3 7 2 0 1 2 9 10 -
R. Riley 25 4-10 0-1 3-3 8 3 0 0 3 11 9 -
B. Farris 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
P. Pierson 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
S. Lambert 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -4 -
K. Braxton 7 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
S. Thomas 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter