Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Arcain | 38 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Snow | 38 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Swoopes | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| D. Canty | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Phillips | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Hodges | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Goodson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Lawson-Wade | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 31 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Douglas | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Whalen | 30 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| N. Sales | 28 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| A. Jones | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Dydek | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| B. Wyckoff | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter