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2005-07-15

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson 34 3-8 0-0 2-2 6 6 2 0 1 8 13 -
A. Beard 33 5-18 1-4 5-7 4 3 1 1 2 16 5 -
D. Milton-Jones 32 7-9 1-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 15 10 -
C. Smith 28 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 5 7 -
C. Melvin 25 5-12 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 11 2 -
C. Miller 13 1-6 0-1 1-2 2 3 1 1 0 3 4 -
M. Page 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
N. Sanford 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Koehn 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Taylor 39 10-16 5-8 6-6 7 7 3 0 5 31 27 -
A. DeForge 38 4-10 1-2 7-7 6 1 0 0 2 16 11 -
K. Vodichkova 32 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 1 2 8 10 -
M. Stepanova 31 8-12 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 3 2 17 15 -
S. Wright 21 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
A. Williams 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 4 0 0 3 -
A. Robinson 13 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 5 5 -

* = starter