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Minnesota Golden Gophers 56
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 64
2005-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% - ✓
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 ✓ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 4.8% 95.2% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brent Lawson * 39 2-5 2-4 2-2 7 3 0 0 3 8 10 -
V. Grier * 39 10-25 0-3 4-8 8 3 3 1 5 24 9 -
A. Robinson * 37 4-9 4-8 0-0 3 6 2 0 4 12 10 -
Jeff Hagen * 36 4-10 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 3 2 10 7 -
D. Coleman * 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Stamper 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Tollackson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Tucker 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Head * 36 5-13 4-9 0-2 6 4 1 2 4 14 10 -
D. Williams * 36 4-9 1-2 3-3 5 5 2 0 4 12 11 -
D. Brown * 35 2-12 2-9 4-6 4 0 2 0 3 10 1 -
J. Augustine * 33 3-6 0-0 5-7 14 1 1 0 5 11 16 -
R. Powell * 27 3-5 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 1 3 10 11 -
J. Ingram 13 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 4 1 0 5 7 -
R. McBride 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
Nick Smith 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
W. Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter