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Florida Gators 68
@
Alabama Crimson Tide 62
2005-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% - ✓
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.3 ✓ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✗
Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 43.5% 56.5% - ✗

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -6 (62-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roberson * 33 5-15 3-9 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 13 2 -
M. Walsh * 32 4-12 3-8 6-6 2 3 1 0 1 17 10 -
C. Brewer * 28 3-4 0-1 4-4 8 2 0 0 2 10 14 -
A. Horford * 28 0-2 0-0 2-7 8 2 0 2 1 2 11 -
A. Moss * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Lee 32 9-18 0-0 2-3 7 3 1 0 2 20 11 -
T. Green 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
C. Richard 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
L. Humphrey 10 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
J. Noah 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele * 37 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 5 7 -
C. Davis * 36 4-12 0-0 1-3 6 1 1 1 3 9 3 -
J. Roberson * 33 8-19 1-8 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 19 1 -
J. Davidson * 31 4-6 0-0 2-2 11 0 0 2 1 10 16 -
E. Shelton * 27 3-11 0-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 -2 -
J. Felix 26 2-8 1-4 6-8 8 1 0 0 1 11 11 -
E. Brock 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 2 7 -
J. Jonus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter