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2005-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% -
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 40.9% 59.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% -
Log Adjusted 56.5% 43.5% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 39 4-12 2-8 2-2 3 6 0 0 2 12 7 -
A. Haluska * 36 4-8 2-6 0-1 3 3 0 1 2 10 7 -
G. Brunner * 36 7-12 0-1 4-5 7 1 0 2 3 18 13 -
M. Henderson * 32 3-6 0-1 1-1 5 1 1 0 2 7 6 -
E. Hansen * 24 2-4 0-0 5-6 6 0 1 3 2 9 13 -
D. Thomas 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Thompson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Reed 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Brownlee 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Gorney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Tucker * 31 7-12 1-3 5-8 3 4 2 0 0 20 17 -
Mike Wilkinson * 24 4-7 1-2 0-1 6 1 2 1 1 9 11 -
Sharif Chambliss * 24 1-8 1-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 3 1 -
C. Hanson * 22 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Helmigk * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Parker 32 7-15 3-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 17 10 -
K. Taylor 29 2-6 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 5 5 -
M. Flowers 14 0-1 0-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
R. Nixon 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Butch 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

* = starter