Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers -1 (74-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Palacios * | 39 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Ellis Myles * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | - |
| F. Garcia * | 33 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| T. Dean * | 31 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| L. O'Bannon | 34 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Laudermill | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Wade | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Gianiny | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Washington Jr. * | 38 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| D. Erwin * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Rice * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Hunt * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Arthur Barclay * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Carney | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Dorsey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| W. Williams | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter