Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | -5.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.7% | 21.3% | -7.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers -1 (74-75). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Palacios * | 39 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Ellis Myles * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 33 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Taquan Dean * | 31 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Larry O'Bannon | 34 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Laudermill | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Lorrenzo Wade | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Perrin Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brad Gianiny | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Washington Jr. * | 38 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Duane Erwin * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Rice * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jeremy Hunt * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Arthur Barclay * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Carney | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Joey Dorsey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Waki Williams | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter