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2005-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jack * 38 2-12 1-3 1-4 9 5 2 0 1 6 9 -
W. Bynum * 35 10-21 5-10 10-12 3 1 0 0 3 35 15 -
A. McHenry * 31 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 0 3 -
L. Schenscher * 29 7-13 0-0 1-1 10 1 1 3 3 15 14 -
B. Elder * 17 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
M. West 18 1-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
A. Morrow 12 1-6 1-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
J. Smith 9 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
R. Dickey 8 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 2 0 5 8 -
T. Tarver 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roche * 37 4-11 2-7 7-8 2 2 2 0 2 17 10 -
S. May * 29 8-13 0-0 1-2 11 0 1 3 5 17 14 -
E. Arriaran * 28 1-11 1-5 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 5 0 -
M. Scott * 27 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 3 4 -
J. Manuel * 18 1-3 0-0 3-3 3 2 0 0 3 5 4 -
R. McCants 22 6-14 4-9 1-3 2 1 0 1 0 17 7 -
M. Williams 19 0-3 0-1 9-10 5 0 1 0 2 9 10 -
D. Noel 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Terry 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Q. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Sanders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter