Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Evtimov * | 37 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 7 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| J. Hodge * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Brackman * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Bennerman * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| G. Grant | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| L. Watkins | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Simmons | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 40 | 11-16 | 7-12 | 6-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 25 | - |
| D. Ewing * | 39 | 5-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| S. Williams * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| S. Randolph * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Melchionni * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Nelson | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. McClure | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Love | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter