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2005-03-12

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hudson * 42 7-14 4-8 3-4 3 2 3 0 1 21 14 -
B. Bass * 41 6-13 0-1 4-4 13 0 0 1 3 16 14 -
D. Mitchell * 40 5-11 2-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 14 2 -
G. Davis * 35 4-11 0-0 3-7 10 0 0 3 2 11 11 -
B. Balla * 35 4-13 0-4 1-3 4 3 1 0 4 9 0 -
X. Whipple 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 0 7 -
R. Neltner 15 2-5 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
P. Wolfert 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kennedy * 32 6-15 2-6 5-8 5 1 1 0 0 19 11 -
P. Sparks * 32 6-10 5-8 0-1 5 5 3 0 0 17 20 -
C. Hayes * 28 3-10 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 1 1 8 7 -
R. Rondo * 24 3-3 0-0 2-3 3 2 1 0 4 8 7 -
R. Morris * 18 1-5 0-0 2-4 0 0 2 2 1 4 2 -
B. Perry 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
L. Obrzut 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Crawford 17 5-10 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 14 4 -
R. Moss 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 8 4 1 0 1 4 13 -
R. Bradley 12 0-4 0-2 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 1 2 -
S. Thomas 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Adetula 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter