Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 34 | 2-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Ford | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 26 | - |
| E. Powell | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| R. Riley | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Cash | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Braxton | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Jones | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Farris | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Stinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Melvin | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| A. Beard | 35 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Smith | 31 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Johnson | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 28 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Miller | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| N. Sanford | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Page | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Koehn | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter