Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Lennox | 35 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Bird | 35 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | - |
| L. Jackson | 34 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| I. Castro | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| S. Batkovic | 21 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Burse | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| F. Zara | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Thompson | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Wright | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Edwards | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Vodopyonova | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Vodichkova | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| A. DeForge | 33 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 31 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Wright | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| A. Robinson | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Snell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter