Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +23 (86-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Vodichkova | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 1-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. DeForge | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 25 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Robinson | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| S. Wright | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Snell | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Harrison | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Irvin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Whitmore | 35 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Holdsclaw | 33 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| N. Teasley | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Leslie | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 29 | - |
| T. Dixon | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Lewis | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Masciadri | 11 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Nieuwveen | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter