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2005-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 6.3% 93.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 19.9% 80.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hachad * 39 7-16 2-5 7-11 9 2 2 1 7 23 14 -
M. Jenkins * 38 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 3 3 -
V. Vukusic * 35 6-14 2-5 1-2 4 3 1 0 3 15 6 -
T.J. Parker * 30 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 2 2 0 2 1 2 -
D. Duvancic * 26 2-6 0-0 0-1 6 2 2 0 2 4 6 -
T. Doyle 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 4 1 0 2 3 9 -
A. Carson 13 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
E. Ross 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Seacat 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 30 3-8 1-2 1-3 2 8 2 0 2 8 10 -
L. Head * 30 5-14 2-8 2-4 6 3 0 1 2 14 8 -
D. Brown * 28 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 6 2 0 2 5 9 -
J. Augustine * 27 6-8 0-0 3-7 8 2 2 0 2 15 17 -
R. Powell * 18 3-4 0-0 5-9 7 0 0 0 5 11 9 -
Nick Smith 18 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
W. Carter 15 0-1 0-1 0-2 5 0 0 1 1 0 4 -
R. McBride 15 1-5 0-3 3-3 1 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
J. Ingram 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
S. Pruitt 6 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
F. Nkemdi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter