Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| T. Bannister * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. McLean * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| E. Brown | 17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| G. Forbes | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Cain | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Joseph | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Campbell | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Nacey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Forkin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 36 | 4-17 | 3-12 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| S. Williams * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| D. Ewing * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| L. Melchionni * | 29 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| S. Randolph * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. McClure | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Nelson | 18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Love | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| P. Davidson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Perkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter