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2005-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% - โœ—
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 โœ— (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 21.4% 78.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% - โœ—

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -2 (69-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 39 6-16 4-11 0-0 3 4 2 2 7 16 4 -
M. Henderson * 37 6-10 0-0 5-6 5 1 1 0 1 17 13 -
A. Haluska * 37 3-8 1-3 3-3 5 3 1 0 2 10 9 -
G. Brunner * 34 6-11 0-0 5-9 7 1 1 2 4 17 13 -
E. Hansen * 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Thomas 26 2-5 0-0 3-7 11 1 0 0 2 7 12 -
A. Thompson 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 -
C. Reed 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Brownlee 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Brown * 31 5-10 3-4 1-2 4 2 0 1 1 14 10 -
P. Davis * 30 5-12 0-0 4-6 8 4 0 1 2 14 13 -
A. Anderson * 30 6-8 1-2 5-10 4 1 1 2 2 18 16 -
M. Ager * 27 1-9 0-5 3-4 4 3 0 1 2 5 2 -
D. Neitzel * 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Torbert 23 2-5 2-2 2-3 2 1 0 2 2 8 6 -
C. Hill 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 4 4 -
M. Trannon 15 2-5 0-0 0-5 5 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
D. Naymick 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tim Bograkos 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter