Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (26.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +31 (89-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Young * | 38 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Douglas * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| N. Watson * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 10 | - |
| F. Tolbert * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Q. Brown * | 22 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| M. Edun | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Hayles | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Gaines | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Rogers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. O'Connor | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Derozan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hudson * | 33 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| B. Balla * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| G. Davis * | 26 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| B. Bass * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| R. Neltner | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| X. Whipple | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Lazare | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Wolfert | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Maravich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter