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2005-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Log Adjusted 3.1% 96.9% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton * 33 4-13 2-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 10 -1 -
Brandon Crump * 32 1-4 1-1 1-2 7 1 0 2 3 4 7 -
S. McFadgon * 29 4-11 2-6 3-3 3 0 1 0 2 13 4 -
A. Patterson * 27 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 2 1 -
C.J. Watson 34 7-14 4-7 8-8 6 5 2 0 3 26 22 -
D. Bradshaw 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 4 -
M. Wingate 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
J. Hendrix 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Asumnu 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
J. Smith 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Howell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sparks * 33 5-11 4-9 2-4 1 4 1 0 0 16 11 -
M. Kennedy * 32 7-12 2-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 18 10 -
C. Hayes * 31 5-9 0-1 4-4 11 3 4 2 2 14 23 -
R. Morris * 27 4-7 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 2 2 11 11 -
R. Rondo * 19 3-5 0-1 3-4 4 4 3 0 3 9 12 -
R. Moss 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
R. Bradley 15 2-7 1-3 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
J. Crawford 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
L. Obrzut 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
B. Perry 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
S. Thomas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Adetula 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Carrier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter