Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Harper * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| L. Roberts * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Shane Power * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| W. Frazier * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| G. Ervin * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 22 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Slater | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| W. Morgan | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| W. Sharpe | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. McTiller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Boler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walsh * | 32 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| C. Brewer * | 30 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A. Roberson * | 29 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| A. Horford * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Lee * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| T. Green | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Moss | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. Humphrey | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Richard | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Noah | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Ingram | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter