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2005-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 2.6% 97.4% -
Bradley-Terry 89.9% 10.1% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.5 (25.5 off)
Pythagorean 28.0% 72.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Log Adjusted 1.6% 98.4% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +31 (90-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lucas * 32 6-12 0-1 3-4 12 2 0 0 7 15 10 -
L. Hurd * 29 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 0 5 -
C. Stephens * 23 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -5 -
N. Dewitz * 20 4-7 1-2 1-1 2 0 0 1 2 10 4 -
K. Jeffers * 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 8 -
J.S. Nash 27 4-4 1-1 5-5 0 1 1 0 1 14 11 -
S. Cuic 24 2-9 2-4 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
J. Fontenet 23 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 4 3 -1 -
V. Remmers 2 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Derek Potter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Brown 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Jones 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Adams * 30 6-12 0-2 2-3 6 4 1 0 2 14 11 -
S. Stoudamire * 29 5-10 3-7 4-4 0 1 2 0 1 17 9 -
C. Frye * 29 7-8 0-0 3-3 7 1 2 1 1 17 19 -
M. Shakur * 26 4-6 1-1 1-1 4 3 0 0 1 10 10 -
I. Radenovic * 24 3-8 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 8 1 -
J. McClellan 25 6-7 2-3 1-3 5 2 0 0 2 15 13 -
C. Rodgers 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
K. Walters 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Dillon 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
J. Verdejo 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
I. Fox 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Peck 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Brielmaier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter