Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.