Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -1 (72-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark | 35 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | -1 | - |
| J. Ellis | 31 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Karl | 29 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 18 | - |
| K. Johnson | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Lane | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Banks | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Robinson | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Lloyd | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Thompson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sessions | 32 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| N. Fazekas | 30 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Washington | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| K. Pinkney | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| M. Charlo | 28 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| K. Shiloh | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Bell | 15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Taylor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter