๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2005-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Charlotte 49ers Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% -1.7 โœ— (12.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% - โœ—
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 โœ— (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—

Actual: Charlotte 49ers -14 (69-83). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Washington Jr. * 37 3-8 0-2 2-2 3 6 1 0 6 8 4 -
A. Rice * 33 3-8 3-8 4-4 4 1 1 1 1 13 11 -
D. Erwin * 26 3-7 0-0 0-1 6 3 0 3 5 6 6 -
Jeremy Hunt * 25 5-13 0-4 3-6 2 0 2 0 1 13 3 -
Arthur Barclay * 23 3-5 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 1 1 9 15 -
R. Carney 28 7-14 4-9 2-2 6 3 1 2 2 20 16 -
W. Williams 14 1-2 0-0 8-8 7 0 0 0 1 10 14 -
Joey Dorsey 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
A. Thiero 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Basden * 39 4-12 0-1 5-6 7 6 2 1 3 13 14 -
Curtis Withers * 36 11-21 2-3 8-11 8 0 1 1 2 32 19 -
B. Plavich * 34 1-10 1-10 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 -3 -
M. Baldwin * 33 2-5 0-1 4-4 1 2 1 0 2 8 5 -
M. Iti * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
E.J. Drayton 14 1-6 1-3 0-2 3 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
Leemire Goldwire 14 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
C. Nance 11 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 0 -
Chris Sager 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter