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2005-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 84.0% 16.0% -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% -
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 22.2% 77.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% -
Log Adjusted 4.7% 95.3% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +19 (71-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Teague * 40 3-10 1-5 2-4 5 2 3 0 3 9 6 -
B. McKnight * 38 7-18 1-4 0-0 2 6 0 0 4 15 1 -
G. Ware * 36 4-10 0-0 4-6 9 1 0 3 2 12 13 -
S. Heber * 25 2-6 0-1 0-1 7 2 0 0 2 4 5 -
Andrew Ford 24 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
C. Davis 12 1-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 2 4 4 -
C. Hartley 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Liddell 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Carroll 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
X. Price 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 33 4-10 4-7 4-6 6 8 0 1 1 16 20 -
A. Haluska * 33 6-12 3-6 2-3 6 5 1 0 2 17 15 -
M. Henderson * 29 5-9 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 1 3 11 4 -
G. Brunner * 26 3-8 1-2 2-3 9 2 0 0 3 9 9 -
E. Hansen * 20 3-6 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 2 0 7 10 -
A. Thompson 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
D. Thomas 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
C. Reed 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -2 -
J. Brownlee 9 1-2 0-1 0-1 0 3 1 0 0 2 4 -
S. Gorney 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.R. Angle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Wieck 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter