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2005-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.7% 92.3% - โœ“
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.6% 97.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“

Actual: Utah Utes +13 (62-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Nelson * 35 6-15 0-0 2-3 4 2 1 0 2 14 4 -
Matt Williams * 35 5-11 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 1 1 12 10 -
J. Smith * 31 5-8 0-1 2-2 8 1 1 4 0 12 18 -
Micheal Morris * 30 0-3 0-1 4-6 1 3 1 3 2 4 7 -
S. Morris * 29 3-10 1-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 7 3 -
Jon Rakiecki 22 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Creason 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
Stephen Verwers 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bogut * 35 10-16 1-2 0-0 17 0 0 1 2 21 21 -
B. Markson * 33 3-9 0-1 6-6 3 1 2 0 2 12 7 -
J. Hawkins * 27 1-9 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 4 3 -2 -
R. Chaney * 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
C. Jackson * 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Mayo, Jackson 35 5-8 1-2 3-3 3 5 0 1 0 14 15 -
T. Drisdom 22 0-3 0-1 3-4 5 4 0 0 0 3 9 -
J. Langvad 13 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Calvin 2 0-0 0-0 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
C. Grant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter