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2005-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 17.5% 82.5% -
Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% -
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas * 40 7-12 2-4 7-9 10 2 0 0 5 23 18 -
F. Tolbert * 38 4-6 1-3 5-6 5 0 0 2 3 14 12 -
I. Young * 37 4-10 3-7 3-4 5 4 2 0 1 14 14 -
N. Watson * 35 3-6 0-2 1-2 1 4 3 0 1 7 8 -
Q. Brown * 29 5-9 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 13 5 -
D. Hayles 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
M. Edun 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Smith * 36 3-10 3-9 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 11 8 -
J. Terrell * 30 2-6 0-0 2-4 8 2 0 2 3 6 9 -
M. Moore * 30 8-20 4-13 1-2 6 4 0 0 3 21 8 -
S. Foster * 27 5-8 4-7 5-6 5 1 1 0 1 19 17 -
J. Holwerda * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
D. Carroll 27 2-7 0-0 0-2 8 1 2 0 0 4 8 -
D. Cage 16 1-4 0-3 1-1 0 1 1 0 2 3 -1 -
A. Gordon 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. Skuchas 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
D. Przybyszewski 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter