Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Temple Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Temple Owls +10 (61-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 29 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| N. Plummer | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| W. Williams | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Scott | 26 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Jones | 23 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Meacham | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Bennett | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Stafford | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Binnie | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Cripe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Temple Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Tyndale | 40 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Collins | 37 | 4-18 | 2-9 | 8-12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| A. Robinson | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Salisbery | 35 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| W. Marshall | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| K. Butler | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Dacons | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Ingram | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter