Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +14 (85-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hall | 36 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. Reichner | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Jensen | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| A. Ainge | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Balderson | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Nashif | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Dawes | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Rose | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Burgess | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Meads | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Miles | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. DeVries | 33 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Walters | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| D. Granger | 29 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 28 | - |
| A. Neale | 28 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| R. Wall | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Danridge | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Osby | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Walter | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Hart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Prentice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Phaler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Harden | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter