Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +16 (70-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Galloway * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Thornton * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Wilson * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Webb * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Romero * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Richardson | 30 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| J. Rich | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Battle | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| I. Swann | 14 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Waleskowski | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Mims | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| I. Zanoguera | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hodge * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| I. Evtimov * | 38 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 38 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| A. Brackman * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Bethel * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Bennerman | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Watkins | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Grant | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter