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2005-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 20.7% 79.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Log Adjusted 16.1% 83.9% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +16 (70-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Galloway * 33 2-7 0-1 5-8 1 1 3 0 1 9 6 -
A. Thornton * 25 3-7 0-2 2-6 7 0 0 2 4 8 6 -
A. Wilson * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
C. Webb * 9 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Romero * 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Richardson 30 6-9 2-4 2-2 9 1 1 2 0 16 20 -
J. Rich 25 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
A. Battle 21 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
I. Swann 14 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
A. Waleskowski 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
R. Mims 8 1-3 1-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
I. Zanoguera 4 0-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hodge * 38 5-10 1-2 3-4 1 7 0 1 2 14 11 -
I. Evtimov * 38 6-13 5-11 1-5 3 1 3 0 3 18 9 -
E. Atsur * 38 5-10 3-7 4-4 9 3 0 0 0 17 19 -
A. Brackman * 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 0 4 -
T. Bethel * 17 2-3 1-2 1-1 3 2 2 0 1 6 9 -
C. Bennerman 25 3-9 0-3 6-7 2 2 1 1 1 12 8 -
L. Watkins 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
G. Grant 6 0-0 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
C. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter