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2005-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 84.3% 15.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% -
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Log Adjusted 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +2 (58-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 39 6-17 3-9 4-6 3 5 1 0 2 19 9 -
R. Coleman * 32 0-7 0-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Wohl * 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 1 2 0 3 -
B. Petway * 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 3 1 4 13 -
G. Brown * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 0 -2 -
C. Sims 29 8-9 0-0 9-11 6 1 1 4 2 25 26 -
J. Andrews 14 2-4 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 2 4 0 -
J.C. Mathis 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 0 4 -
A. Bell 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Harrell 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Hunter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hachad * 40 7-15 0-2 3-5 7 2 2 1 2 17 12 -
M. Jenkins * 37 3-6 2-3 0-1 3 7 5 1 3 8 15 -
D. Duvancic * 31 2-4 0-2 2-3 6 3 0 0 0 6 11 -
A. Carson * 23 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 3 2 -
V. Vukusic * 15 2-8 2-6 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 7 -1 -
T.J. Parker 37 6-11 0-3 3-5 3 1 2 0 2 15 8 -
T. Doyle 16 1-3 0-1 0-1 1 0 2 1 0 2 3 -
E. Seacat 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter