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2005-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% -
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 29.6% 70.4% -
Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.1% 87.9% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -7 (72-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Dewitz * 37 5-11 0-2 5-7 8 2 3 3 3 15 17 -
L. Hurd * 30 1-3 0-1 1-1 8 5 3 1 4 3 13 -
C. Stephens * 29 5-11 3-6 4-4 4 1 1 0 3 17 9 -
D. Lucas * 24 4-11 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 11 1 -
K. Jeffers * 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 1 6 6 -
J.S. Nash 25 2-3 0-1 1-4 1 3 1 0 2 5 5 -
J. Fontenet 20 2-2 2-2 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 10 11 -
S. Cuic 16 4-6 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
H. Brown 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thompson * 39 8-20 3-9 2-2 4 2 3 0 4 21 6 -
J. Farmar * 38 6-19 1-7 3-3 3 5 2 1 3 16 5 -
A. Afflalo * 33 3-8 2-4 2-2 8 2 0 1 2 10 11 -
J. Shipp * 31 5-9 1-4 2-3 11 2 1 0 3 13 15 -
M. Fey * 27 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
Brian Morrison 17 0-3 0-3 1-2 0 0 1 0 4 1 -5 -
R. Hollins 13 2-4 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
M. McKinney 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter