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2005-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 50.4% 49.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.3 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% -
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -19 (46-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Crump * 32 6-15 1-1 3-4 7 0 1 0 3 16 6 -
C. Lofton * 29 3-7 2-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 8 8 -
A. Patterson * 28 1-4 0-0 2-4 8 3 1 0 4 4 8 -
D. Bradshaw * 19 1-2 1-2 2-3 4 2 2 0 0 5 11 -
C.J. Watson 36 0-2 0-1 2-4 2 3 2 0 3 2 4 -
S. McFadgon 33 8-17 4-7 2-3 7 2 1 0 2 22 13 -
J. Hendrix 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Wingate 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
S. Asumnu 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Smith 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Howell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Gash 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 33 4-9 0-3 2-2 2 2 2 1 3 10 5 -
E. Ferguson * 31 3-7 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 8 0 -
D. Townes * 24 3-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 1 0 10 8 -
C. Thomas * 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
O. Famutimi * 23 4-7 0-2 0-1 5 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
J. Modica 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
D. Jefferson 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -
S. Hill 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 3 -
Michael Jones 10 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
R. Sullivan 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter