Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -12 (67-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Criswell | 34 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Martin | 31 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| V. Matthews | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| A. Strait | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Seyfert | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| K. Davis | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Easley | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Farr | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson | 37 | 7-18 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| B. Miller | 34 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| L. Ball | 33 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Moss | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| A. Beye | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Durham | 21 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| T. Pratt | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Durr | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter