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2005-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% -
Margin 51.5% 48.5% -0.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% -

Actual: Montana State Bobcats -12 (67-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Criswell 34 1-8 0-2 7-8 9 1 0 0 1 9 10 -
M. Martin 31 5-8 4-5 2-2 3 4 2 0 4 16 13 -
V. Matthews 27 5-8 2-3 1-2 6 8 1 0 0 13 20 -
A. Strait 22 7-10 0-0 2-3 7 2 2 0 1 16 16 -
J. Seyfert 22 3-5 0-0 5-8 6 0 1 3 1 11 15 -
K. Davis 22 3-8 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 5 6 0 -
M. Dlouhy 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
C. Easley 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
L. Farr 8 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 5 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson 37 7-18 0-5 1-3 7 1 1 0 3 15 3 -
B. Miller 34 6-15 3-10 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 15 8 -
L. Ball 33 4-8 0-2 2-3 4 1 2 0 1 10 8 -
M. Moss 29 1-6 0-0 1-2 8 1 3 1 3 3 7 -
A. Beye 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 8 10 -
C. Durham 21 4-12 2-9 2-3 0 0 2 0 1 12 1 -
T. Pratt 13 1-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 2 0 4 5 -
C. Durr 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Holmes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter