Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bailey | 39 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| D. Perkins | 35 | 2-16 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| E. Rohde | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Niesen | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Legge | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Angley | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Borchart | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Denison | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Parham | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Henke | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Dougherty | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Qedan | 40 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| P. Marigney | 36 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 11-14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| J. Sanders | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| F. Adjiwanou | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Kickert | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| B. Collins | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Walberg | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Rhalimi | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Sholberg | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. DaSilva | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Bond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter