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2005-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.2% 37.8% -
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.2% 8.8% -
Log Adjusted 91.2% 8.8% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +1 (65-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brown * 38 3-11 2-6 5-8 0 4 0 0 0 13 6 -
L. Head * 38 3-9 3-6 3-3 7 6 1 0 3 12 14 -
R. Powell * 34 4-10 0-2 4-5 11 1 0 0 2 12 12 -
D. Williams * 33 1-7 0-4 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 2 6 -
J. Augustine * 21 4-11 0-0 1-3 8 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
J. Ingram 16 4-8 0-1 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 8 3 -
W. Carter 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Nick Smith 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
R. McBride 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hoskins 0 10-14 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 23 10 -
Brandon Hunter 0 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Matter 0 1-8 0-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 -3 -
A. Allen 0 5-10 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 13 6 -
J. Davenport 0 6-14 1-2 2-3 12 0 0 0 0 15 13 -
T. Dials * 39 8-13 0-0 5-7 8 3 1 1 1 21 20 -
J. Foster * 33 3-8 2-5 2-3 2 2 1 1 1 10 7 -
J.J. Sullinger * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
J. Butler * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
I. Harris * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Sylvester 34 8-17 2-5 7-9 5 3 0 1 2 25 15 -
Tony Stockman 26 1-6 0-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Fuss-Cheatham 23 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 5 5 -
Matt Marinchick 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter