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2005-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 50.8% 49.2% -
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
E. Larkins 0 4-11 - 5-6 5 13 7
C. Little 0 3-10 -1 2-2 4 8 2
N. Bell 0 7-11 - 4-8 1 18 8
I. Latta 0 9-16 5-10 9-11 1 32 17
L. Atkinson 0 -6 -2 - 3 -3
Player #5123 * 32 5-6 - 2-4 1 2 1 1 1 12 10
Player #5124 * 19 3-10 -3 2-2 3 3 8 -2
Player #18381 * 1 - - - 0
Player #24426 * 1 - - - 0
Player #11868 37 3-13 -3 5-8 3 6 2 5 11 4
Player #11871 34 10-19 - 6-7 24 3 2 1 26 35
Player #22241 26 3-9 -1 3-3 7 1 9 8
Player #5122 22 -2 -2 - 3 1 1 1 4
A. Cowling 21 2-4 -1 - 1 2 2 1 4 4
R. Terry 5 1-4 1-1 2-2 2 5 3
Player #22240 2 - - - 0

* = starter