Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Sardin | 0 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| B. Teamer | 0 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Logan-Friend | 0 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| S. Zoll | 0 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. McGuire | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 0 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Little | 0 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| N. Bell | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| I. Latta | 0 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 9-11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 17 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 0 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter