Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Lady Lions | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (83-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Lady Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brown | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Schwab | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Wright | 0 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Strom | 0 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Brenden | 0 | 9-12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Lucas-Perry | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Roehrig | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| L. Shimek | 0 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| L. Bowen | 0 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Haynie | 0 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
* = starter