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2005-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.4% 44.6% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% -
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: Florida Gators +1 (53-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hayes * 35 5-11 0-0 1-2 5 0 3 0 4 11 4 -
P. Sparks * 31 2-9 1-6 0-0 2 4 2 0 3 5 1 -
M. Kennedy * 26 4-10 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 9 0 -
R. Morris * 25 4-5 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 0 9 11 -
R. Rondo * 24 1-4 1-1 0-0 3 5 2 1 1 3 9 -
R. Moss 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. Bradley 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
L. Obrzut 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Crawford 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Perry 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Carrier 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Thomas 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Walsh * 36 4-11 2-6 1-2 5 3 2 0 4 11 6 -
A. Roberson * 34 7-18 3-10 4-4 4 0 1 0 3 21 5 -
D. Lee * 34 4-9 0-0 3-4 10 2 2 1 2 11 15 -
C. Brewer * 26 1-2 0-0 1-4 2 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
A. Horford * 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 4 2 4 6 -
L. Humphrey 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
A. Moss 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
T. Green 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
C. Richard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter