Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. McLean * | 31 | 8-19 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| G. Forbes * | 31 | 6-17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| T. Bannister * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Brown * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Cain | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Joseph | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Soroye | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Minter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Richardson * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| A. Waleskowski * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Wilson * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Battle * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Rich | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| I. Swann | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| R. Mims | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Webb | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Romero | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter